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Conferences, Seminars, and Short Courses
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Introduction to Probabilistic Modeling - October 21-22, 2004 Syracuse Research Corporation, Syracuse, New York
View Course Description and Syllabus |
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Joint Carolinas and Southeast SETAC Chapters Regional Meeting |
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SETAC Syracuse, NY, October 27-28, 2003 Title: A Centralized Source of Measured Indoor Air Pollutant Concentrations and Supporting Information Authors: Steven G. Swarts, Michele Stephenson, Philip Goodrum Point of Contact: Steven Swarts, 315-452-8452, swarts@syrres.com Abstract: View Abstract Powerpoint Presentation: Download Presentation Indoor Air Quality Problems and Engineering Solutions |
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Risk Communication of PRA
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| Before PRA will be widely adopted by risk managers to support remediation decisions, methods for communicating the strengths and weaknesses of PRA are needed. The PRA Center will conduct a survey of risk managers to determine the type of information from a PRA that is of greatest interest for decision-making. In addition, the PRA Center will evaluate fields other than risk assessment in which probabilistic modeling approaches have long been used to evaluate and solve problems. PRA Center activities will focus on developing clear, concise, and readily understandable graphical and tabular summaries of PRA results, including both the probability distributions used as input into the model, and the probability distributions for predicted outcomes. Work products will include guidance on risk communication with PRA, and the development of software and/or spreadsheet tools that can be used in the risk communication process for a variety of environmental modeling problems. | |||||||||
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Listserve and Internet Web Site for Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) in PRA
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| The PRA Center will establish and maintain both a listserve to discuss issues related to PRA, and a web site to document frequently asked questions (FAQs). Similar to the conferences, seminars, and short courses, the goal of these activities is to foster collaboration and technical exchange among government, industry, and academia on topics related to PRA. | |||||||||
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Spreadsheet Modeling Toolkit for PRA
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| For many PRAs, Monte Carlo analysis will be used to quantify variability and uncertainty in risk models. Commercial software for running Monte Carlo simulations and processing output is now available as add-ins to Microsoft Excel, making PRAs readily accessible to a broad range of scientists. However, there is still a demand for expertise in probability and statistics, and tools to facilitate the data analysis steps associated with developing probability distributions used in the Monte Carlo models. The PRA Center will serve as a resource to develop and periodically update an electronic notebook of spreadsheet applications of statistical approaches commonly used in PRA. | |||||||||
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